Jakarta & West Java Pandemic Movement Forecast Modelling

Supporting geospatial modelling combining disease propagation modelling with people movement simulation modelling to support the Indonesian Government’s pandemic decision making and economic planning

The model focused on Jakarta and the West Java region in Indonesia and forecasts people and transport movements under COVID-19 conditions and nominated criteria

The Jakarta epidemic simulation model (Jakarta EpiSim) forecasts viral outbreak via people and transport movements across Jakarta using Multi-Agent Transport Simulation (MATSim) software. Jakarta EpiSim has the capability of efficiently forecasting sophisticated “what if” scenarios such as vaccine deployment optimisation and economic recovery focussed modelling.

The modelling development for Jakarta EpiSim involved creating synthetic dynamic populations, which is a unique, easier to source, quicker, less expensive and relatively precise approach. Our partners on this project were CSIRO Data 61 and MATSim.

Achievements

Jakarta EpiSim delivers a customised model for Jakarta and West Java with user-friendly dashboard which produces consistent, repeatable, and reliable results.
Jakarta EpiSim produces rapid results, and relatively precise and sophisticated animations of complex scenario analyses and comparisons.